The ballot measure that would repeal Alaska’s open primary and ranked choice voting system is now failing by the narrowest of margins, according to the latest results update from the Division of Elections on Monday.
Out of 314,056 ballots counted so far, “No” on Ballot Measure 2 now leads by 192 votes, 50.03% to 49.97%.
The flip follows the tallying of nearly 4,000 more votes on Monday. Election officials are still counting ballots through Wednesday and estimate there are roughly 7,800 ballots outstanding.
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Monday marked the first time since election night that No has taken the lead. No on 2 Campaign Manager Juli Lucky said she was not surprised No pulled ahead.
“We’ve heard from a lot of voters all over the state about how important it is to have representation that looks like them,” Lucky said. “What we heard from Alaskans was that there was a lot of support to keep open primaries and ranked choice voting in place.”
Former Lt. Gov. Loren Leman, an advocate for the repeal measure, said Yes on 2 was thoroughly outspent and didn’t have enough money to counter what repeal opponents were saying in their barrage of ads and mailers.
“It was like 100 to one,” Leman said. “And you know, when you have a campaign like that, it’s really tough to respond, and especially to all the deception. It was really just a very difficult campaign.”
Some repeal advocates are casting aspersions on the integrity of the vote counting. Leman, when he was lieutenant governor, used to be in charge of the Division of Elections. He said he doesn’t see any cause for suspicion. Alaska, he noted, gives up to 15 days for ballots to arrive for overseas military voters.
“I have no reason not to trust the director of the Division of Elections,” he said. “She’s an incredibly competent and honest person.”
Ballot Measure 2 is one of a handful of tight races that remains unresolved nearly two weeks after Election Day.
In the U.S. House race, Republican challenger Nick Begich is holding on to his lead. Monday’s count shows he’s ahead with 48.5%. He declared victory on Saturday, after a data company called Decision Desk HQ called the race for him.
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Congresswoman Mary Peltola, a Democrat, trails with 46.3%. The Division of Elections will tabulate ranked choices on Wednesday, but those ballots may not help her. A conservative Alaskan Independence Party candidate, John Wayne Howe, has about 4% of the vote, quadruple the share received by federal inmate Eric Hafner, who filed as a Democrat.
Another of the unsettled races, for House District 18 in North Anchorage, remains tight. Rep. Cliff Groh, D-Anchorage, now leads his Republican challenger, David Nelson by just 25 out of 3,530 votes.
A handful of additional races where no candidate reached 50% of the vote will be determined when officials tabulate voters’ ranked choices on Wednesday.
Eric Stone covers state government, tracking the Alaska Legislature, state policy and its impact on all Alaskans. Reach him at estone@alaskapublic.org and follow him on X at @eriwinsto. Read more about Eric here.
Liz Ruskin is the Washington, D.C., correspondent at Alaska Public Media. Reach her at lruskin@alaskapublic.org. Read more about Liz here.