Lead for Ballot Measure 2 shrinks to less than 1,700 votes in latest election results update

A man in a jacket looks at the camera holding a sign against ranked choice voting. While others in support of ballot initiative two and Nick Begich's campaign stand near the road with signs.
Supporters of both Nick Begich’s campaign and ballot measure two wave signs at passing traffic at the intersection of Northern Lights Boulevard and the Seward Highway in Anchorage, Alaska early Tuesday, November 5, 2024. (Joseph Hansen/Alaska Public Media)

A ballot measure that would repeal the state’s open primaries and ranked choice voting system is still on track to pass, albeit by a narrow margin, according to updated results released by the Division of Elections Friday night. 

“Yes” on Ballot Measure 2 leads by just 1,676 votes, 50.3% to 49.7%, out of 304,154 total votes.

Meanwhile, Republican Nick Begich III continues to lead Democratic Congresswoman Mary Peltola by more than 9,000 votes in the race for Alaska’s lone seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Begich’s margin has shrunk slightly, but he still leads 48.9% to 45.9%.

Races where no candidate gets 50% of the vote will be subject to ranked choice tabulation on Nov. 20 once all valid ballots are counted.

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The update released Friday by the Division of Elections included more than 17,000 newly counted votes. It brings the total number of ballots counted in races around the state to 321,641, including 60,857 absentee ballots and 72,552 early ballots. The state has also now reported Election Day results from all 403 precincts around the state after incorporating Atqasuk’s votes on Thursday.

The update did not change the leaders in any races.

In legislative contests, the race for a North Anchorage House got even tighter. Incumbent Democrat Cliff Groh now leads challenger David Nelson by just 10 votes out of 3,419.

Sen. Scott Kawasaki, a Fairbanks Democrat, leads his Republican challenger, Leslie Hajdukovich, by 349 of 11,501 votes. 

In an intra-Republican contest, challenger Jubilee Underwood leads Wasilla Rep. David Eastman by 197 votes out of 7,606.

In Northeast Anchorage, Democrat Ted Eischeid leads incumbent Republican Stanley Wright by 196 votes out of 4,747.

Races won by less than 0.5% are subject to an automatic state-funded recount once all votes are counted. Right now, the Groh/Nelson race is in automatic recount territory, and Ballot Measure 2 is just outside of it. 

Races outside the 0.5% threshold can be recounted, but the requester must pay to conduct the recount.

On Wednesday, ahead of Friday’s update, the Division of Elections estimated that it had 35,000 ballots left to count. It did not provide an updated figure on Friday.

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Eric Stone covers state government, tracking the Alaska Legislature, state policy and its impact on all Alaskans. Reach him at estone@alaskapublic.org and follow him on X at @eriwinsto. Read more about Eric here.

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